14.03.2008 13:29:00
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Ambac Releases Chairman's Letter
Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE: ABK) (Ambac) today announced
that it has released its Chairman’s letter to
policyholders, clients, shareholders and friends. The letter follows:
Dear Policyholders, Clients, Shareholders and Friends:
It is with pleasure that I report to you that, in this difficult
environment, Ambac has been able to achieve its immediate objectives -
enhancing Ambac’s capital position and improving
our position with the rating agencies. This success is a testimony to
the dedication of my colleagues at Ambac and to the support Ambac has
received from shareholders, policyholders, regulators, clients and
friends. The capital raise was strongly supported by many of our
existing shareholders. This vote of confidence in Ambac’s
future is greatly appreciated.
With the capital raise in place, Ambac, in our view, now has the
resources from which to build its future, including the ability to
capitalize on attractive, sound opportunities as they arise in the
financial guarantee business. Ambac has over $15 billion of
claims-paying resources, sufficient to meet Moody’s
and S&P’s criteria to retain a triple-A
rating. Additionally, our capital base will build further as other
judicious capital strengthening actions are implemented.
You should also be aware that, along with our capital raising efforts,
we are undertaking a close examination of all aspects of Ambac’s
business – our organization, business focus,
systems and processes. While our work in this regard is ongoing, we have
already implemented some important changes. As previously announced, we
have created a new risk management structure and we are refocusing our
business (including the exiting of certain businesses) with the
objective of improving the quality of our portfolio and reducing the
volatility of our earnings. This process will take time, but will
benefit all of our constituents.
Ambac’s business has been and will continue to
encompass more than U.S public finance. Diversity of our business
strengthens Ambac, as acknowledged by the rating agencies. In the U.S.
we will continue to insure student loans, utility issues and certain
other structured finance issues that meet our enhanced risk parameters.
Outside the U.S., Ambac will continue to insure securities funding
hospitals, roads, schools, public transportation and so forth.
In undertaking this process, Ambac also had to deal with a lot of
misinformation and self-serving agendas of others in the
marketplace. It is important to understand that Ambac is in the risk
business and we are operating today in the most stressed credit
environment that I can recall in my 40-year involvement with the
financial marketplace. It is useful at this point to clarify the reality.
Loss projections that you read and hear about are simply that –
projections. They are based on limited data and the numbers that get
the headlines are stress case losses, not expected losses. We remain
confident that Ambac will weather the storm. With over $15 billion in
claims-paying resources behind all we do, no investor in an
Ambac-insured security should worry that they will miss a principal or
interest payment.
Ambac never considered a "bailout.”
Bailouts are for firms that are facing insolvency. Many parties
offered us capital alternatives, but, as I have said publicly, their
terms were at an unacceptably high price. We are proud that,
ultimately, we addressed our capital issues with a market-based
solution that balanced, we believe, the interests of many of our
constituents.
Lost amidst all the noise and market volatility is the simple fact
that most of Ambac’s insurance portfolio is
performing strongly. The issues in Ambac’s
portfolio arise largely from four transactions, the "CDO-squareds,”
that account for the vast majority of our potential losses.
Through this difficult period, we have been reminded of the importance
of transparency. Ambac has always been committed to being very
transparent. We have led the way in disclosure of our portfolio,
especially on our web site. What does the future hold for Ambac? We see
attractive opportunities in a number of sectors. The simple fact is that
the last few years were characterized by tight credit spreads and very
aggressive competition – an extremely
challenging pricing environment. Today the reverse is true. Credit
spreads have widened dramatically and substantial financial guarantee
capacity has exited the market. The recent entries of Berkshire Hathaway
and financier Wilbur Ross into the municipal markets fully validate
this. These new entrants into our industry reinforce our perception that
the pricing environment for credit insurance has improved.
In closing, I want to thank our employees who have dedicated themselves
to going the extra mile throughout this unprecedented time. I also want
to single out with gratitude certain individuals who supported Ambac.
These include Sean Dilweg and his staff at the Wisconsin Office of the
Commissioner of Insurance, Eric Dinallo and the New York State Insurance
Department, as well as other government officials. Ultimately, with
their support, Ambac was able to execute a market-based solution for its
capital needs. Ambac now has the potential to move forward to realize
the benefits of the underlying strength of Ambac’s
basic business model.
I recognize that restoring confidence in Ambac is essential to moving
forward. We will accomplish this by maintaining the highest ratings
possible, emphasizing a risk-centric culture and building on our strong
franchise and expertise. We look forward to doing so and thank you for
your support.
Sincerely,
Michael A. Callen
Chairman & Chief Executive Officer
Forward-Looking Statements
This release contains statements that may constitute "forward-looking
statements" within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the
Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Any or all of
management’s forward-looking statements here
or in other publications may turn out to be wrong and are based on Ambac’s
management’s current belief or opinions. Ambac’s
actual results may vary materially, and there are no guarantees about
the performance of Ambac’s securities. Among
events, risks, uncertainties or factors that could cause actual results
to differ materially are: (1) changes in the economic, credit, foreign
currency or interest rate environment in the United States and abroad;
(2) the level of activity within the national and worldwide credit
markets; (3) competitive conditions and pricing levels; (4) legislative
and regulatory developments; (5) changes in tax laws; (6) changes in our
business plan, including changes resulting from our decision to
discontinue writing new business in the financial services area, to
significantly reduce new underwriting of structured finance business and
to discontinue all new underwritings of structured finance business for
six months; (7) the policies and actions of the United States and other
governments; (8) changes in capital requirements whether resulting from
downgrades in our insured portfolio or changes in rating agencies’
rating criteria or other reasons; (9) changes in Ambac’s
and/or Ambac Assurance’s credit or financial
strength ratings; (10) changes in accounting principles or practices
relating to the financial guarantee industry or that may impact Ambac’s
reported financial results; (11) inadequacy of reserves established for
losses and loss expenses; (12) default by one or more of Ambac Assurance’s portfolio
investments, insured issuers, counterparties or reinsurers; (13) credit
risk throughout our business, including large single exposures to
reinsurers; (14) market spreads and pricing on insured collateralized
debt obligations ("CDOs”)
and other derivative products insured or issued by Ambac; (15) credit
risk related to residential mortgage securities and CDOs; (16) the risk
that holders of debt securities or counterparties on credit default
swaps or other similar agreements seek to declare events of default or
seek judicial relief or bring claims alleging violation or breach of
covenants by Ambac or one of its subsidiaries; (17) the risk that our
underwriting and risk management policies and practices do not
anticipate certain risks and/or the magnitude of potential for loss as a
result of unforeseen risks; (18) the risk of volatility in income and
earnings, including volatility due to the application of fair value
accounting, or FAS 133, to the portion of our credit enhancement
business which is executed in credit derivative form; (19) operational
risks, including with respect to internal processes, risk models,
systems and employees; (20) the risk of decline in market position;
(21) the risk that market risks impact assets in our investment
portfolio; (22) the risk of credit and liquidity risk due to unscheduled
and unanticipated withdrawals on investment agreements; (23) changes in
prepayment speeds on insured asset-backed securities; (24) factors that
may influence the amount of installment premiums paid to Ambac; (25) the
risk that we may be required to raise additional capital, which could
have a dilutive effect on our outstanding equity capital and/or future
earnings; (26) our ability or inability to raise additional capital,
including the risks that regulatory or other approvals for any plan to
raise capital are not obtained, or that various conditions to any plan,
either imposed by third parties or imposed by Ambac or its Board of
Directors, are not satisfied and thus potentially necessary capital
raising transactions do not occur, or the risk that for other reasons
the Company cannot accomplish any potentially necessary capital raising
transactions; (27) the risk that Ambac’s
holding company structure and certain regulatory and other constraints,
including adverse business performance, affect Ambac’s
ability to pay dividends and make other payments; (28) the risk of
litigation and regulatory inquiries or investigations, and the risk of
adverse outcomes in connection therewith, which could have a material
adverse effect on our business, operations, financial position,
profitability or cash flows; (29) other additional factors described in
the Risk Factors section of Ambac’s Current
Report on Form 8-K dated March 12, 2008 and in its Annual Report on Form
10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2007 and in and also
disclosed from time to time by Ambac in its subsequent reports on Form
10-Q and Form 8-K, which are or will be available on the Ambac web site
at www.ambac.com
and at the SEC’s web site, www.sec.gov;
and (30) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at
this time. Readers are cautioned that forward-looking statements speak
only as of the date they are made and that Ambac does not undertake to
update forward-looking statements to reflect circumstances or events
that arise after the date the statements are made. You are therefore
advised to consult any further disclosures we make on related subjects
in Ambac’s reports to the SEC.
Ambac Financial Group, Inc., headquartered in New York City, is a
holding company whose affiliates provide financial guarantees and
financial services to clients in both the public and private sectors
around the world. Ambac's principal operating subsidiary, Ambac
Assurance Corporation, a guarantor of public finance and structured
finance obligations, has earned triple-A ratings from Moody's Investors
Service, Inc. and Standard & Poor's Ratings Services; and a double-A
rating from Fitch, Inc. Moody's, Standard & Poor's and Fitch all
maintain a "negative outlook.”
Ambac Financial Group, Inc. common stock is listed on the New York Stock
Exchange (ticker symbol ABK).
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