26.06.2012 21:39:00
|
Moody's upgrades the ratings on TruPS CDO notes issued by Soloso CDO 2005-1
New York, June 26, 2012 -- Moody's Investors Service announced today that it has upgraded the ratings on the following notes issued by Soloso CDO 2005-1:
Class A-1L Floating Rate Notes Due October 2035 (current balance $143,222,231.81) , Upgraded to Ba2(sf); previously on Apr 20, 2011 Downgraded to B1(sf);
Class A-1LA Floating Rate Notes Due October 2035 (current balance $100,009,813.21), Upgraded to Ba1(sf); previously on Apr 20, 2011 Downgraded to Ba3(sf)
Class A-1LB Floating Rate Notes Due October 2035 (current balance $39,000,000.00) , Upgraded to B1(sf); previously on Apr 20, 2011 Downgraded to B3(sf)
RATIONALE
According to Moody's, the rating actions taken on the notes are primarily a result of deleveraging of the Class A-1L and Class A-1LA Notes and an increase in the transaction's overcollateralization ratios as well as the improvement in the credit quality of the underlying portfolio since the last rating action in April 2011
Moody's notes that the Class A-1L Notes notes have been paid down by approximately 6.4% or $9.2 million and the Class A-1LA notes have been paid down by approximately 9% or $9 million since the last rating action, as a result of diversion of excess interest proceeds. As a result of this deleveraging, the Class A-1 par coverage improved to 100.66% from 91.77% since the last rating action, as calculated by Moody's. Based on the latest trustee report dated April 2012, the Senior Coverage Ratio, Class A-2 Coverage Ratio, Class A-3 Coverage Ratio and Class B Coverage Ratio are reported at 110.72% (limit 115.00%), 95.35% (limit 112.00%), 76.34% (limit 105.00%) and 70.68% (limit 103.50%), respectively, versus January 2011 levels of 107.77%, 93.57%, 76.01% and 70.76%, respectively. Going forward, the Class A-1L, Class A-1LA and Class A-1LB notes will continue to benefit from the diversion of excess interest and the expiration of the interest rate swap in July 2015.
Moody's also notes that the deal benefited from an improvement in the credit quality of the underlying portfolio. Based on Moody's calculation, the weighted average rating factor (WARF) improved to 1093 compared to 1404 as of the last rating action date. The Moody's cumulative assumed defaulted amount has declined to $178.08 million from $201.98 million as of the last rating action date. The decline is due to improvement in the credit quality and the financial ratios of the banks that issued the five assets that were assumed to be defaulted in the last rating action.
Due to the impact of revised and updated key assumptions referenced in our rating methodology, key model inputs used by Moody's in its analysis, such as par, weighted average rating factor, Moody's Asset Correlation, and weighted average recovery rate, may be different from the trustee's reported numbers. In its base case, Moody's analyzed the underlying collateral pool to have a performing par of $284.1 million, defaulted/deferring par of $178.08 million, a weighted average default probability of 24.37% (implying a WARF of 1093), Moody's Asset Correlation of 21.57%, and a weighted average recovery rate upon default of 10%. In addition to the quantitative factors that are explicitly modeled, qualitative factors are part of rating committee considerations. Moody's considers the structural protections in the transaction, the risk of triggering an Event of Default, recent deal performance under current market conditions, the legal environment, and specific documentation features. All information available to rating committees, including macroeconomic forecasts, inputs from other Moody's analytical groups, market factors, and judgments regarding the nature and severity of credit stress on the transactions, may influence the final rating decision.
Soloso CDO 2005-1 issued on August 24, 2005, is a collateralized debt obligation backed by a portfolio of bank trust preferred securities.
The portfolio of this CDO is mainly comprised of trust preferred securities (TruPS) issued by small to medium sized U.S. community banks that are generally not publicly rated by Moody's. To evaluate the credit quality of bank TruPS without public ratings, Moody's uses RiskCalc model, an econometric model developed by Moody's KMV, to derive their credit scores. Moody's evaluation of the credit risk for a majority of bank obligors in the pool relies on FDIC financial data received as of Q4-2011.
The principal methodology used in this rating was "Moody's Approach to Rating TRUP CDOs" published in May 2011. Please see the Credit Policy page on www.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.
The transaction's portfolio was modeled using CDOROM v.2.8 to develop the default distribution from which the Moody's Asset Correlation parameter was obtained. This parameter was then used as an input in a cash flow model using CDOEdge. CDOROM v.2.8 is available on moodys.com under Products and Solutions -- Analytical models, upon return of a signed free license agreement.
Moody's performed a number of sensitivity analyses of the results to certain key factors driving the ratings. We analyzed the sensitivity of the model results to changes in the portfolio WARF (representing an improvement or a deterioration in the credit quality of the collateral pool), assuming that all other factors are held equal. If the WARF is increased by 157 points from the base case of 1093,the model-implied rating of the A-1LA notes is one notch worse than the base case result. Similarly, if the WARF is decreased by 193 points, the model-implied rating of the A-1LA notes is one notch better than the base case result.
Moody's notes that this transaction is subject to a high level of macroeconomic uncertainty, as our outlook on the banking sector remains negative, although there have been some recent signs of stabilization.
The pace of FDIC bank failures continues to decline in 2012 compared to 2011, 2010 and 2009, and some of the previously deferring banks have resumed interest payment on their trust preferred securities.
Further information on Moody's analysis of this transaction is available on www.moodys.com.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
The Global Scale Credit Ratings on this press release that are issued by one of Moody's affiliates outside the EU are endorsed by Moody's Investors Service Ltd., One Canada Square, Canary Wharf, London E 14 5FA, UK, in accordance with Art.4 paragraph 3 of the Regulation (EC) No 1060/2009 on Credit Rating Agencies. Further information on the EU endorsement status and on the Moody's office that has issued a particular Credit Rating is available on www.moodys.com.
For ratings issued on a program, series or category/class of debt, this announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in relation to each rating of a subsequently issued bond or note of the same series or category/class of debt or pursuant to a program for which the ratings are derived exclusively from existing ratings in accordance with Moody's rating practices. For ratings issued on a support provider, this announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in relation to the rating action on the support provider and in relation to each particular rating action for securities that derive their credit ratings from the support provider's credit rating. For provisional ratings, this announcement provides relevant regulatory disclosures in relation to the provisional rating assigned, and in relation to a definitive rating that may be assigned subsequent to the final issuance of the debt, in each case where the transaction structure and terms have not changed prior to the assignment of the definitive rating in a manner that would have affected the rating. For further information please see the ratings tab on the issuer/entity page for the respective issuer on www.moodys.com.
Information sources used to prepare the rating are the following: parties involved in the ratings, public information, confidential and proprietary Moody's Investors Service information, and confidential and proprietary Moody's Analytics information.
Moody's did not receive or take into account a third-party assessment on the due diligence performed regarding the underlying assets or financial instruments related to the monitoring of this transaction in the past six months.
Moody's considers the quality of information available on the rated entity, obligation or credit satisfactory for the purposes of issuing a rating.
Moody's adopts all necessary measures so that the information it uses in assigning a rating is of sufficient quality and from sources Moody's considers to be reliable including, when appropriate, independent third-party sources. However, Moody's is not an auditor and cannot in every instance independently verify or validate information received in the rating process.
Please see the ratings disclosure page on www.moodys.com for general disclosure on potential conflicts of interests.
Please see the ratings disclosure page on www.moodys.com for information on (A) MCO's major shareholders (above 5%) and for (B) further information regarding certain affiliations that may exist between directors of MCO and rated entities as well as (C) the names of entities that hold ratings from MIS that have also publicly reported to the SEC an ownership interest in MCO of more than 5%. A member of the board of directors of this rated entity may also be a member of the board of directors of a shareholder of Moody's Corporation; however, Moody's has not independently verified this matter.
Please see Moody's Rating Symbols and Definitions on the Rating Process page on www.moodys.com for further information on the meaning of each rating category and the definition of default and recovery.
Please see ratings tab on the issuer/entity page on www.moodys.com for the last rating action and the rating history.
The date on which some ratings were first released goes back to a time before Moody's ratings were fully digitized and accurate data may not be available. Consequently, Moody's provides a date that it believes is the most reliable and accurate based on the information that is available to it. Please see the ratings disclosure page on our website www.moodys.com for further information.
Please see www.moodys.com for any updates on changes to the lead rating analyst and to the Moody's legal entity that has issued the rating.
Sarah Christine Dolan Associate Analyst Structured Finance Group Moody'sInvestors Service, Inc.250 Greenwich StreetNew York, NY 10007 U.S.A. JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376 SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653Rodrigo Araya Senior Vice President Structured Finance Group JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376 SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653 Releasing Office: Moody's Investors Service, Inc.250 Greenwich StreetNew York, NY 10007 U.S.A. JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376 SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653(C) 2012 Moody's Investors Service, Inc. and/or its licensors and affiliates (collectively, "MOODY'S"). All rights reserved.
CREDIT RATINGS ISSUED BY MOODY'S INVESTORS SERVICE, INC. ("MIS") AND ITS AFFILIATES ARE MOODY'S CURRENT OPINIONS OF THE RELATIVE FUTURE CREDIT RISK OF ENTITIES, CREDIT COMMITMENTS, OR DEBT OR DEBT-LIKE SECURITIES, AND CREDIT RATINGS AND RESEARCH PUBLICATIONS PUBLISHED BY MOODY'S ("MOODY'S PUBLICATIONS") MAY INCLUDE MOODY'S CURRENT OPINIONS OF THE RELATIVE FUTURE CREDIT RISK OF ENTITIES, CREDIT COMMITMENTS, OR DEBT OR DEBT-LIKE SECURITIES. MOODY'S DEFINES CREDIT RISK AS THE RISK THAT AN ENTITY MAY NOT MEET ITS CONTRACTUAL, FINANCIAL OBLIGATIONS AS THEY COME DUE AND ANY ESTIMATED FINANCIAL LOSS IN THE EVENT OF DEFAULT. CREDIT RATINGS DO NOT ADDRESS ANY OTHER RISK, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO: LIQUIDITY RISK, MARKET VALUE RISK, OR PRICE VOLATILITY. CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY'S OPINIONS INCLUDED IN MOODY'S PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT STATEMENTS OF CURRENT OR HISTORICAL FACT. CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY'S PUBLICATIONS DO NOT CONSTITUTE OR PROVIDE INVESTMENT OR FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY'S PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT AND DO NOT PROVIDE RECOMMENDATIONS TO PURCHASE, SELL, OR HOLD PARTICULAR SECURITIES. NEITHER CREDIT RATINGS NOR MOODY'S PUBLICATIONS COMMENT ON THE SUITABILITY OF AN INVESTMENT FOR ANY PARTICULAR INVESTOR. MOODY'S ISSUES ITS CREDIT RATINGS AND PUBLISHES MOODY'S PUBLICATIONS WITH THE EXPECTATION AND UNDERSTANDING THAT EACH INVESTOR WILL MAKE ITS OWN STUDY AND EVALUATION OF EACH SECURITY THAT IS UNDER CONSIDERATION FOR PURCHASE, HOLDING, OR SALE.
ALL INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN IS PROTECTED BY LAW, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO, COPYRIGHT LAW, AND NONE OF SUCH INFORMATION MAY BE COPIED OR OTHERWISE REPRODUCED, REPACKAGED, FURTHER TRANSMITTED, TRANSFERRED,DISSEMINATED, REDISTRIBUTED OR RESOLD, OR STORED FOR SUBSEQUENT USE FOR ANY SUCH PURPOSE, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, IN ANY FORM OR MANNER OR BY ANY MEANS WHATSOEVER, BY ANY PERSON WITHOUT MOODY'S PRIOR WRITTEN CONSENT.
All information contained herein is obtained by MOODY'S from sources believed by it to be accurate and reliable. Because of the possibility of human or mechanical error as well as other factors, however, all information contained herein is provided "AS IS" without warranty of any kind. MOODY'S adopts all necessary measures so that the information it uses in assigning a credit rating is of sufficient quality and from sources MOODY'S considers to be reliable including, when appropriate, independent third-party sources. However, MOODY'S is not an auditor and cannot in every instance independently verify or validate information received in the rating process. Under no circumstances shall MOODY'S have any liability to any person or entity for (a) any loss or damage in whole or in part caused by, resulting from, or relating to, any error negligent or otherwise or other circumstance or contingency within or outside the control of MOODY'S or any of its directors, officers, employees or agents in connection with the procurement, collection, compilation, analysis, interpretation, communication, publication or delivery of any such information, or (b) any direct, indirect, special, consequential, compensatory or incidental damages whatsoever (including without limitation, lost profits), even if MOODY'S is advised in advance of the possibility of such damages, resulting from the use of or inability to use, any such information. The ratings, financial reporting analysis, projections, and other observations, if any, constituting part of the information contained herein are, and must be construed solely as, statements of opinion and not statements of fact or recommendations to purchase, sell or hold any securities. Each user of the information contained herein must make its own study and evaluation of each security it may consider purchasing, holding or selling.
NO WARRANTY, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, AS TO THE ACCURACY, TIMELINESS, COMPLETENESS, MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR ANY PARTICULAR PURPOSE OF ANY SUCH RATING OR OTHER OPINION OR INFORMATION IS GIVEN OR MADE BY MOODY'S IN ANY FORM OR MANNER WHATSOEVER.
MIS, a wholly-owned credit rating agency subsidiary of Moody's Corporation ("MCO"), hereby discloses that most issuers of debt securities (including corporate and municipal bonds, debentures, notes and commercial paper) and preferred stock rated by MIS have, prior to assignment of any rating, agreed to pay to MIS for appraisal and rating services rendered by it fees ranging from $1,500 to approximately $2,500,000. MCO and MIS also maintain policies and procedures to address the independence of MIS's ratings and rating processes. Information regarding certain affiliations that may exist between directors of MCO and rated entities, and between entities who hold ratings from MIS and have also publicly reported to the SEC an ownership interest in MCO of more than 5%, is posted annually at www.moodys.com under the heading "Shareholder Relations -- Corporate Governance -- Director and Shareholder Affiliation Policy."
Any publication into Australia of this document is by MOODY'S affiliate, Moody's Investors Service Pty Limited ABN 61 003 399 657, which holds Australian Financial Services License no. 336969. This document is intended to be provided only to "wholesale clients" within the meaning of section 761G of the Corporations Act 2001. By continuing to access this document from within Australia, you represent to MOODY'S that you are, or are accessing the document as a representative of, a "wholesale client" and that neither you nor the entity you represent will directly or indirectly disseminate this document or its contents to "retail clients" within the meaning of section 761G of the Corporations Act 2001.
Notwithstanding the foregoing, credit ratings assigned on and after October 1, 2010 by Moody's Japan K.K. ("MJKK") are MJKK's current opinions of the relative future credit risk of entities, credit commitments, or debt or debt-like securities. In such a case, "MIS" in the foregoing statements shall be deemed to be replaced with "MJKK". MJKK is a wholly-owned credit rating agency subsidiary of Moody's Group Japan G.K., which is wholly owned by Moody's Overseas Holdings Inc., a wholly-owned subsidiary of MCO.
This credit rating is an opinion as to the creditworthiness or a debt obligation of the issuer, not on the equity securities of the issuer or any form of security that is available to retail investors. It would be dangerous for retail investors to make any investment decision based on this credit rating. If in doubt you should contact your financial or other professional adviser.