27.06.2012 20:01:00
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Genworth Financial, Inc. -- Moody's reviews Genworth's and its US MI's ratings for downgrade; lowers IFS of US life entities to A3/stable
New York, June 27, 2012 -- Moody's Investors Service has placed the debt ratings of Genworth Financial, Inc. ("Genworth"; NYSE: GNW, senior debt at Baa3) and the insurance financial strength (IFS) ratings of its US Mortgage Insurance (MI) operating companies on review for downgrade. In the same rating action, Moody's downgraded the IFS ratings of Genworth's primary life insurance operating subsidiaries to A3 from A2 with a stable outlook. A complete list of affected ratings is given below. Moody's ratings on Genworth Financial Mortgage Insurance Pty Limited (Genworth Australia, IFS at A1) and Genworth Financial Mortgage Indemnity Limited (Genworth Indemnity, IFS at A2) are unaffected by the rating action and remain on review for downgrade.
RATINGS RATIONALE
US Life Operations
Commenting on the downgrade of the IFS rating of the US life operations, Moody's Senior Vice President Scott Robinson said, "Although Genworth Life Insurance Company (primary US life operating company of Genworth) remains well capitalized (NAIC Risk Based Capital (RBC) ratio of 425% as of Q1 2012) and has a leading market position in long term care (LTC) insurance and a strong position in term insurance, we view it as having a weaker credit profile when compared with some of its similarly rated peers." Regarding its business profile, the company's solid brand and broad product suite is somewhat offset by the company's lack of "lower risk" type products and concentrated position in long-term care, which Moody's considers to be a "higher risk" product. Related to its financial profile, the rating agency said the company's profitability, although improving, remains low compared to peers. On a statutory basis, this has hurt the company's level of unassigned surplus, which restricts the amount of ordinary dividends that can be paid to the holding company. The rating agency noted that the company is taking a number of actions to improve its unassigned surplus position.
The A3 IFS rating for the life operations is supported by the company's relatively diversified earnings, competitive positions in income and protection products, and proactive steps management has taken to raise capital and address upcoming debt maturities at the holding company. These strengths are somewhat offset by the holding company's modest financial flexibility, pressure from shareholders to take "shareholder-friendly" actions to improve market / book value, and a lack of lower risk product reserves.
US Mortgage Insurance (GMICO)
Genworth Mortgage Insurance Corporation's (`GMICO'- collectively all rated US MI operating company affiliates) Ba1 insurance financial strength rating has been placed on review for downgrade due to the uncertainty about the strength of its parent (under review for possible downgrade) and about the likelihood of future capital support -- which might be limited in most scenarios -- see section on holding company below. The review will also evaluate GMICO's ability to continue writing new business given the firm's high risk to capital level and the year-end expiration of most regulatory and counterparty waivers. Other issues in consideration are the firm's contemplated structural alternatives.
GMICO's current rating reflects the firm's modest capitalization, continued dependence on regulatory forbearance to write new business and some implicit support from its parent. The rating also takes into consideration the weak credit trends in the US housing market, substantial remaining uncertainty about the role of private mortgage insurers in the post mortgage-reform environment and improved underwriting prospects for GMICO following the exit of two competitors.
Holding Company
Commenting on the review for downgrade of Genworth, Robinson said: "The review will focus on the evaluation of holding company financial flexibility over the near to medium term. We will consider management actions and plans to enhance flexibility, limit the potential downside impact of the lower rated US MI on the rest of the operations, as well as potential parental support."
Genworth's Baa3 senior debt rating is currently 3 notches lower than the A3 IFS ratings of the company's life insurance operating entities, the standard notching practice for insurance groups. Prior to today's rating action, the notching differential between the main life insurance operating entities and the holding company was 4 notches, a reflection of the lower credit profile and downside risks of US MI, including its potential need for additional support.
Rating Drivers - life insurance group
Moody's commented that the following could lead to an upgrade in the IFS rating for the life insurance entities: 1) Losses and capital requirements of the stress case scenario for the US MI operations are determined to have a modest impact on the group; 2) 2012 US life insurance GAAP operating earnings > $300 million, excluding the impact of life block transactions; 3) US Life Insurance sales growing at industry rate without disproportionate growth in LTC; and 4) Unassigned surplus as of year-end 2012 > $100 million. Conversely, the following could lead to a further downgrade of the IFS rating for the life insurance entities: 1) 2012 US life insurance GAAP operating earnings < $250 million, excluding the impact of life block transactions; 2) Financial leverage in excess of 30% and/or earnings coverage less than 2x on a sustained basis; and 3) Unassigned surplus as of year-end 2012 < $100 million.
Rating Drivers -- US mortgage insurance
The following factors could lead to confirmation of the ratings of the US mortgage insurance subsidiaries: 1) Greater certainty about ability to maintain new business flows over the medium term (12-24 months) 2) Parent's willingness to provide capital support 3) Significant improvement in rate of new delinquencies and/or cures 4) Statutory loss ratio less than 100% and 5) A regulatory framework that improves the market opportunity for private mortgage insurers.
Conversely, the following factors could lead to a downgrade of GMICO: 1) Weakening parental support of the US MI operation 2) Non-renewal of GSE and regulatory agreement/forbearance when they expire 3) Restructuring of operations that would result in reduced new business flows for the flagship, Genworth Mortgage Insurance Corporation 4) Risk to Capital greater than 40x and 5) Statutory loss ratio greater than 200%.
Rating Drivers - holding company
According to Moody's, the following could lead to a confirmation of the holding company's ratings: 1) De-linkage from the US MI operations so that a downside scenario would not impact holding company creditors or determination that a downside scenario would have a modest impact on the group; 2) Capital actions that enhance holding company financial flexibility without hurting long-term earnings power of the company. On the other hand, the following could result in a downgrade of the holding company's ratings: 1) Failure to de-link the US MI from holding company creditors or determination that a downside scenario would have more than a modest impact on the group; 2) Failure to take capital actions that enhance holding company financial flexibility without hurting long-term earnings power of the company.
The principal methodologies used in rating Genworth were "Moody's Global Rating Methodology for Life Insurers," published in May 2010 and "Moody's Global Rating Methodology for the Mortgage Insurance Industry" published in February 2007. Please see the Credit Policy page on www.moodys.com for a copy of these methodologies.
The following ratings were placed on review for downgrade:
Genworth Financial, Inc.-- senior unsecured debt rating at Baa3, junior subordinated debt rating at Ba1(hyb), senior unsecured shelf rating at (P)Baa3, subordinate shelf rating at (P)Ba1, preferred shelf rating at (P)Ba2, short-term debt rating for commercial paper at P-3;
Genworth Mortgage Insurance Corporation--insurance financial strength rating at Ba1;
Genworth Residential Mortgage Insurance Corporation of NC--insurance financial strength rating at Ba1.
Genworth Seguros de Credito a la Vivienda--insurance financial strength rating at Baa3, national scale insurance financial strength rating at Aa3.mx
The following ratings were downgraded with a stable outlook:
Genworth Life Insurance Company--insurance financial strength rating to A3 from A2, short term insurance financial strength rating to P-2 from P-1;
Genworth Life and Annuity Insurance Company--insurance financial strength rating to A3 from A2, short term insurance financial strength rating to P-2 from P-1;
Genworth Life Insurance Company of New York--insurance financial strength rating to A3 from A2;
Genworth Global Funding Trusts--funding agreement-backed senior secured Medium-Term Note Program to (P)A3 from (P)A2;
Genworth Global Funding Trusts 2006-C; 2006-E; 2007-A; 2007-3 through 4; 2008-1 through 2; 2008-5; 2008-7; 2008-9 through 49 -- funding agreement-backed senior secured debt rating to A3 from A2;
Genworth Life Institutional Funding Trust--funding agreement-backed senior secured debt to A3 from A2, senior secured debt to A3 from A2, backed senior secured Medium-Term Note Program to (P)A3 from (P)A2;
General Repackaging ACES SPC, Series 2007-2; Series 2007-3; Series 2007-6; Series 2007-7--funding agreement-backed senior secured debt rating to A3 from A2;
Genworth Financial, Inc., headquartered in Richmond, Virginia, reported total assets of $111 billion and total shareholders' equity of $15.9 billion as of March 31, 2012.
Moody's insurance financial strength ratings are opinions of the ability of insurance companies to pay punctually senior policyholder claims and obligations.
Visit Moody's website at www.moodys.com for more information.
REGULATORY DISCLOSURES
Although this credit rating has been issued in a non-EU country which has not been recognized as endorsable at this date, this credit rating is deemed "EU qualified by extension" and may still be used by financial institutions for regulatory purposes until 30 April 2012. Further information on the EU endorsement status and on the Moody's office that has issued a particular Credit Rating is available on www.moodys.com.
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Scott Robinson Senior Vice President Financial Institutions Group Moody'sInvestors Service, Inc.250 Greenwich StreetNew York, NY 10007 U.S.A. JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376 SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653Robert Riegel MD - Insurance Financial Institutions Group JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376 SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653 Releasing Office: Moody's Investors Service, Inc.250 Greenwich StreetNew York, NY 10007 U.S.A. JOURNALISTS: 212-553-0376 SUBSCRIBERS: 212-553-1653(C) 2012 Moody's Investors Service, Inc. and/or its licensors and affiliates (collectively, "MOODY'S"). All rights reserved.
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